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YEAR 9 · STATISTICS · 14 MIN

Misleading graphs and representations

Check scales, denominators and missing context before accepting a statistical claim.

In this lesson

Before you start
  • Mean, median and percentages
  • Reading distributions
01 / LEARN

Understand the idea.

Read the scale before the shape

Read axis labels, units and the baseline before judging the shape of a graph. When a bar axis begins above zero, the visible heights represent amounts above that baseline, so their ratio does not equal the ratio of the actual values.

Also check equal numerical intervals, missing dates and sample sizes. Time positions should match elapsed time. Enlarging both a picture’s height and width exaggerates its area, and a steep-looking line cannot be interpreted without reading both axis scales.

Bar chart titled Bottles sold, showing Monday forty-eight and Tuesday fifty-two. Equal-width bars begin at forty-five, with vertical ticks forty-five, fifty and fifty-five. The original note explicitly states that the vertical axis starts at forty-five rather than zero.

Use the right denominator

When groups have different numbers of opportunities, compare rates as well as counts. A complaint count depends on how many orders were handled: divide complaints by orders to obtain the complaint proportion, then convert to a percentage if useful.

Keep causal claims separate from descriptive patterns. Two quantities changing together may reflect other influences. A sound conclusion identifies the measured difference and its denominator, rather than relying on a dramatic picture or assuming that association proves causation.

BusinessComplaintsOrdersRate
A123004%
B102005%
02 / WORKED EXAMPLES

See the method in action.

EXAMPLE 01

An exaggerated sales claim

The graph shows 48 bottles on Monday and 52 on Tuesday. A caption says sales more than doubled.

Bar chart titled Bottles sold, showing Monday forty-eight and Tuesday fifty-two. Equal-width bars begin at forty-five, with vertical ticks forty-five, fifty and fifty-five. The original note explicitly states that the vertical axis starts at forty-five rather than zero.

Worked solution

  1. 1

    Read the actual sales values.

    Monday=48,Tuesday=52

    The bars are labelled with bottle counts; their heights above the truncated baseline are not the actual totals.

  2. 2

    Calculate the increase.

    52−48=4 bottles

    Change is the later count minus the original count.

  3. 3

    Calculate the proportional increase.

    448×100⁢%≈8.3⁢%

    Percentage increase uses the original Monday count as the denominator.

  4. 4

    Assess the caption.

    5248≈1.083<2

    Tuesday sales are about 1.083 times Monday sales, so they did not more than double; the axis starting at 45 exaggerates the visible height ratio.

Answer

The claim is false: 4 more bottles, about 8.3%.

EXAMPLE 02

Counts versus rates

A has 12 complaints from 300 orders; B has 10 from 200. Which complaint rate is lower?

Worked solution

  1. 1

    Calculate A’s complaint rate.

    pA=12300×100⁢%=4⁢%

    Relate A’s complaints to A’s total orders.

  2. 2

    Calculate B’s complaint rate.

    pB=10200×100⁢%=5⁢%

    Use B’s own order total as the denominator.

  3. 3

    Compare the rates.

    4⁢%<5⁢%

    A has the lower complaint rate, despite having two more complaints in raw counts.

Answer

A, with 4% rather than 5%.

03 / YOUR TURN

Try it yourself.

Check your understanding

A score rises from 50 to 55. Is that a 5% increase?

Show answer & reasoning

No; it is 10%.

The score increases by 55−50=5. Relative to the original 50, this is 550×100⁢%=10⁢%, rather than 5⁢%.

Keep practising

6 worksheet questions · 13 marks

Read the questions online
  1. Attendance rises from 120 to 132. Find the numerical and percentage increases.
    3 marks
  2. A poll reports 80% agreement without giving a sample size. Name two missing details that matter.
    2 marks
  3. A has 8 late appointments out of 100; B has 12 out of 200. Compare late rates.
    2 marks
  4. A graph places years 2010, 2011 and 2020 equally far apart. Explain the issue.
    2 marks
  5. An icon doubles in both height and width. By what factor does its area change, and why can this mislead?
    2 marks
  6. Ice-cream sales and swimming incidents both rise in hot weather. Does this prove ice cream causes incidents?
    2 marks
Read the worked solutions

Equivalent correct methods earn the corresponding marks. Include units where asked.

  1. Attendance rises from 120 to 132. Find the numerical and percentage increases.
    3 marks

    Increase =12.

    12120×100=10⁢%.

    12 people; 10%.
  2. A poll reports 80% agreement without giving a sample size. Name two missing details that matter.
    2 marks

    80% of 5 has different stability from 80% of 5,000.

    Voluntary or biased selection may distort the proportion.

    Sample size and selection method.
  3. A has 8 late appointments out of 100; B has 12 out of 200. Compare late rates.
    2 marks

    8100=8⁢%.

    12200=6⁢%.

    A: 8%; B: 6%; B is lower.
  4. A graph places years 2010, 2011 and 2020 equally far apart. Explain the issue.
    2 marks

    Equal horizontal distances should mean equal times when showing change.

    Use proportional spacing or a different clearly explained display.

    A nine-year interval is drawn the same width as a one-year interval.
  5. An icon doubles in both height and width. By what factor does its area change, and why can this mislead?
    2 marks

    Area factor =2×2=4.

    Viewers may infer four times the quantity when only doubling was intended.

    Area becomes four times as large.
  6. Ice-cream sales and swimming incidents both rise in hot weather. Does this prove ice cream causes incidents?
    2 marks

    The evidence shows an association.

    Other explanations and appropriate study evidence are needed for causation.

    No; hot weather may influence both.
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Curriculum reference & lesson scope

Australian Curriculum v9 / SA Curriculum Mathematics

Year 9 sampling, comparative distributions, centre/spread/outliers, displays, critique and statistical investigations.

Official curriculum source ↗

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