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YEAR 10 · PROBABILITY · 18 MIN

Systematic counting and the multiplication principle

Count multi-stage possibilities using the multiplication principle, while respecting restrictions.

In this lesson

Before you start
  • Fractions, sample spaces and probability
01 / LEARN

Understand the idea.

Count choices stage by stage

The multiplication principle counts complete choices stage by stage. If every first choice has the same number of available second choices, multiply these counts. A tree shows why: every first-stage branch leads to that many completed outcomes.

Define exactly what is being selected before counting. A code may begin with zero, whereas a multi-digit whole number cannot. Distinct roles make order meaningful; selecting a group may not. Restrictions determine the choices available at each stage.

Restrictions change later choices

Without reuse, count only the objects still available. Three different letters chosen in order from four give 4×3×2 possibilities. If repeats are allowed, the availability resets and the count becomes 4×4×4.

When branch counts differ, split the problem into disjoint cases and add their totals. Multiplication combines successive choices in one outcome; addition combines alternative non-overlapping cases. Check that no valid outcome is omitted or counted in two cases.

02 / WORKED EXAMPLES

See the method in action.

EXAMPLE 01

Menu choices

A lunch has one of 3 mains, 2 drinks and 4 fruit choices. How many lunches?

Worked solution

  1. 1

    Count main-and-drink combinations.

    3×2=6

    Every main can be paired with either drink.

  2. 2

    Include the fruit choice.

    6×4=24

    Each of the six combinations can be completed with any of four fruits.

  3. 3

    State what was counted.

    24 lunches

    A lunch contains exactly one choice from each of the three categories.

Answer

24.

EXAMPLE 02

A zero cannot lead

How many three-digit numbers use different digits chosen from 0,1,2,3?

Worked solution

  1. 1

    Choose a valid hundreds digit.

    3 choices: 1,2,3

    Zero cannot lead a three-digit whole number.

  2. 2

    Choose the tens digit.

    3 remaining choices

    One of the four digits has been used; zero is now allowed.

  3. 3

    Choose the units digit and multiply.

    3×3×2=18

    Only two unused digits remain for the final position, and each valid prefix has that many completions.

Answer

3×3×2=18.

03 / YOUR TURN

Try it yourself.

Check your understanding

How many two-letter codes use A,B,C with repeats allowed?

Show answer & reasoning

9.

Each of two ordered positions has three choices because repeats are allowed: 3×3=9 codes.

Keep practising

6 worksheet questions · 14 marks

Read the questions online
  1. There are 4 shirts and 3 trousers. How many outfits choosing one of each?
    2 marks
  2. A four-digit PIN allows 0–9 in each position and permits repeats. How many PINs?
    2 marks
  3. How many three-letter codes use different letters from A,B,C,D,E?
    2 marks
  4. Five runners fill first and second place with no ties. How many ordered results?
    2 marks
  5. How many two-digit numbers use distinct digits from 0,2,4,6?
    3 marks
  6. A student says 3 mains and 2 drinks make 5 lunches. Explain and correct.
    3 marks
Read the worked solutions

Equivalent correct methods earn the corresponding marks. Include units where asked.

  1. There are 4 shirts and 3 trousers. How many outfits choosing one of each?
    2 marks

    4×3=12.

    12.
  2. A four-digit PIN allows 0–9 in each position and permits repeats. How many PINs?
    2 marks

    104=10,000; a PIN may begin with zero.

    10,000.
  3. How many three-letter codes use different letters from A,B,C,D,E?
    2 marks

    5×4×3=60.

    60.
  4. Five runners fill first and second place with no ties. How many ordered results?
    2 marks

    5 choices for first and 4 for second.

    20.
  5. How many two-digit numbers use distinct digits from 0,2,4,6?
    3 marks

    3 choices for the tens digit, then 3 remaining choices.

    9.
  6. A student says 3 mains and 2 drinks make 5 lunches. Explain and correct.
    3 marks

    Every main combines with each drink.

    Multiply 3×2 rather than adding separate categories.

    There are 6 lunches.
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Curriculum reference & lesson scope

Australian Curriculum v 9 / SA Curriculum

Compound events; systematic counting and the multiplication principle; factorials and simple arrangements; conditional language and restricted sample spaces; conditional probabilities from tables/trees; replacement and dependence; conditional versus unconditional probabilities; designing and interpreting simulations.

Official curriculum source ↗

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