ASCENTLEARNING
Join a weekly class
Skip to learning content
YEAR 5 · PROBABILITY · 15 MIN

Observed frequencies

Read how often outcomes occurred and distinguish results from future guarantees.

In this lesson

Before you start
  • Tallying; adding frequencies; simple fractions
01 / LEARN

Understand the idea.

Count what happened

An observed frequency counts what actually happened in completed trials. Red has frequency 14 in the spin table, meaning fourteen of those spins gave red. This is a record of the experiment, not a guarantee about the next spin.

Add the frequencies to check the trial total: 14+9+7=30. Within this record, a greater frequency means more occurrences. When comparing separate groups, check their trial totals too, because a longer experiment gives more opportunities to record an outcome.

Example results from 30 spins
ColourFrequency
Red14
Blue9
Green7

Comparing different trial counts

Compare observed shares when the trial totals differ. Scale the successes and the trial count by the same factor so the totals match. Multiplying both preserves the share; multiplying only successes would change the result you are comparing.

For example, 6 successes in 10 trials can be compared with 30 in 50: five copies of the first record have 6×5=30 successes in 10×5=50 trials. Equal observed shares do not prove that either share is the device's exact chance.

Two example trial records
GroupSuccessesTrials
A610
B3050
02 / WORKED EXAMPLES

See the method in action.

EXAMPLE 01

Read a record

In the 30-spin table, which colour occurred most often, and how many more times did it occur than green?

Example results from 30 spins
ColourFrequency
Red14
Blue9
Green7

Worked solution

  1. 1

    Compare the three observed frequencies.

    14>9>7

    Red's fourteen occurrences exceed blue's nine and green's seven, so red occurred most often.

  2. 2

    Read the green count needed for the comparison.

    Green frequency=7

    The question asks how many more times red occurred than green, so use green rather than the next-largest count.

  3. 3

    Subtract green's count from red's count.

    14−7=7

    The difference shows that red occurred seven more times than green in this thirty-spin record.

Answer

Red occurred most often, 7 more times than green.

EXAMPLE 02

A fair comparison

Group A records 4 heads in 10 tosses. Group B records 20 heads in 50 tosses. Did one have a larger share of heads?

Worked solution

  1. 1

    Scale Group A's trial total to match Group B.

    10×5=50

    Comparing both records over fifty trials gives their head counts the same-sized total.

  2. 2

    Scale Group A's head count by the same factor.

    4×5=20

    Scaling both counts together keeps Group A's observed share unchanged.

  3. 3

    Compare the shares using the matched totals.

    410=2050

    Both records have twenty heads per fifty tosses when put on the same scale, so neither has a larger observed share.

Answer

No. Both observed the same share of heads.

03 / YOUR TURN

Try it yourself.

Check your understanding

A record shows 9 red, 7 blue and 4 yellow results. How many trials were recorded?

Show answer & reasoning

20.

Each trial contributes one result to exactly one colour count. Adding all three counts gives 9+7+4=20, so the record contains twenty trials.

Keep practising

6 worksheet questions · 9 marks

Read the questions online
  1. How many trials are recorded in the supplied spin table?
    1 mark
    Example results from 30 spins
    ColourFrequency
    Red14
    Blue9
    Green7
  2. Which colour occurred least often in that table?
    1 mark
    Example results from 30 spins
    ColourFrequency
    Red14
    Blue9
    Green7
  3. A record shows Win 8 and Lose 12. How many trials are recorded, and which outcome is more frequent?
    2 marks
  4. A coin record shows 12 heads and 8 tails. How many more heads than tails occurred?
    1 mark
    Example results from 20 tosses of a fair coin
    OutcomeFrequency
    Heads12
    Tails8
  5. Group A records red 3 times in 10 trials. Group B records red 15 times in 50 trials. Compare their observed shares.
    2 marks
  6. A hidden spinner gives blue 9 times in 10 spins. Can you be certain it has nine blue sectors out of ten? Explain.
    2 marks
Read the worked solutions

Equivalent correct methods earn the corresponding marks. Include units where asked.

  1. How many trials are recorded in the supplied spin table?
    1 mark
    Example results from 30 spins
    ColourFrequency
    Red14
    Blue9
    Green7

    14+9+7=30.

    30.
  2. Which colour occurred least often in that table?
    1 mark
    Example results from 30 spins
    ColourFrequency
    Red14
    Blue9
    Green7

    Its frequency, 7, is smaller than 9 and 14.

    Green.
  3. A record shows Win 8 and Lose 12. How many trials are recorded, and which outcome is more frequent?
    2 marks

    8+12=20.

    12 is greater than 8.

    20 trials; Lose is more frequent.
  4. A coin record shows 12 heads and 8 tails. How many more heads than tails occurred?
    1 mark
    Example results from 20 tosses of a fair coin
    OutcomeFrequency
    Heads12
    Tails8

    12−8=4.

    4.
  5. Group A records red 3 times in 10 trials. Group B records red 15 times in 50 trials. Compare their observed shares.
    2 marks

    Multiplying 3 and 10 by five gives 15 and 50.

    The shares are equal.
  6. A hidden spinner gives blue 9 times in 10 spins. Can you be certain it has nine blue sectors out of ten? Explain.
    2 marks

    Different spinner designs could produce that record.

    Inspect the device or collect more evidence before making a stronger claim.

    No. A short trial record does not show the exact sector arrangement.
Checking saved progress…
Curriculum reference & lesson scope

Australian Curriculum v9 / SA Curriculum 2026

Listing outcomes; equal/unequal likelihood; repeated trials; observed frequencies.

Official curriculum source ↗

Save your next step.

Create a free account to save your learning progress. Lessons and downloads stay free, with or without an account.

Create free account