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YEAR 11 · STATISTICS · 18 MIN

Sampling methods and bias

Choose and critique chance-based and convenience sampling methods.

In this lesson

Before you start
  • Population versus sample
01 / LEARN

Understand the idea.

Make selection explicit

In simple random sampling, every possible sample of the chosen size has equal chance. Use a complete numbered list and distinct randomly selected IDs. Systematic sampling instead takes every kth entry after a random start.

Stratified sampling selects randomly within relevant groups; proportional allocation preserves their population shares. Cluster sampling selects whole groups, such as classes. Similarity within clusters can reduce how much independent information a sample provides.

A large biased sample is still biased

Convenience sampling favours accessible people; voluntary response favours those who choose to participate. Either can systematically exclude experiences. A large response count does not repair a selection rule that misses part of the population.

Bias is a systematic tendency, whereas sampling variation is chance-to-chance fluctuation. Random selection does not guarantee balanced coverage in every realised sample. Non-response can also undo the advantages of a sound initial selection.

02 / WORKED EXAMPLES

See the method in action.

EXAMPLE 01

Allocate proportional strata

A cohort has 120 Year 11 and 180 Year 12 students. Allocate a sample of 50.

Worked solution

  1. 1

    Find the population total.

    N=120+180=300

    Both year groups contribute to the same cohort.

  2. 2

    Allocate Year 11 places.

    n11=50×120300=20

    The sample receives the same Year 11 proportion as the population.

  3. 3

    Allocate Year 12 places.

    n12=50×180300=30

    The remaining population share gives thirty places, and the allocations total fifty.

  4. 4

    Select within each group.

    Use random selection from each year list; proportional counts alone do not make selection random.

Answer

20 Year 11 and 30 Year 12 students.

EXAMPLE 02

Check a systematic pattern

A list repeats junior, junior, senior, senior. A sample takes every fourth entry.

Worked solution

  1. 1

    Identify the repeating cycle.

    junior, junior, senior, senior

    The list repeats after four positions, exactly matching the sampling interval.

  2. 2

    Track the starting position.

    Starting in a junior position selects juniors on every fourth step; starting in a senior position selects seniors.

  3. 3

    Interpret the random start carefully.

    A random start gives a chance of either group, but an individual sample can still miss one group entirely.

  4. 4

    Improve coverage.

    Randomise the list first or take a suitable random sample within each age stratum to avoid locking selection to the repeating pattern.

Answer

With a random start, this design can still produce poor coverage and high sampling variation in an individual sample; random selection does not guarantee a representative realised sample.

03 / YOUR TURN

Try it yourself.

Check your understanding

A website invites people to vote. Name the selection risk.

Show answer & reasoning

Voluntary-response bias.

This risks voluntary-response bias. People with strong opinions or regular website access may be more likely to vote, so voters need not represent the intended population.

Keep practising

6 worksheet questions · 12 marks

Read the questions online
  1. A generator selects 60 distinct IDs from 600 students. Name the method.
    2 marks
  2. Every 12th customer is selected after a random start from 1–12. Name it.
    2 marks
  3. Allocate a sample of 30 from 80 full-time and 120 part-time staff.
    2 marks
  4. Only tutoring attendees answer about homework difficulty. Identify a risk.
    2 marks
  5. A random survey has 50% non-response. Why might bias remain?
    2 marks
  6. Describe a cluster sample of geographically spread households.
    2 marks
Read the worked solutions

Equivalent correct methods earn the corresponding marks. Include units where asked.

  1. A generator selects 60 distinct IDs from 600 students. Name the method.
    2 marks

    It uses chance selection from a defined list.

    Simple random sampling.
  2. Every 12th customer is selected after a random start from 1–12. Name it.
    2 marks

    A fixed interval follows the start.

    Systematic sampling.
  3. Allocate a sample of 30 from 80 full-time and 120 part-time staff.
    2 marks

    Multiply population fractions by 30.

    12 full-time and 18 part-time.
  4. Only tutoring attendees answer about homework difficulty. Identify a risk.
    2 marks

    The selection excludes non-attendees.

    Tutoring attendees may have different experiences from other students.
  5. A random survey has 50% non-response. Why might bias remain?
    2 marks

    Random initial selection does not guarantee unbiased final responses.

    Respondents may differ systematically from non-respondents.
  6. Describe a cluster sample of geographically spread households.
    2 marks

    Blocks are clusters; consider differences between selected and unselected blocks.

    Randomly choose neighbourhood blocks and survey households within them.
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Curriculum reference & lesson scope

SACE Board of South Australia

Stage 1 General Mathematics: statistical investigation, univariate data, sampling, displays, summaries and interpretation.

Official curriculum source ↗

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