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YEAR 11 · LINEAR AND EXPONENTIAL MODELS · 18 MIN

Comparing linear with exponential change

Compare additive and multiplicative models over a stated time horizon.

In this lesson

Before you start
  • Linear equations and formulas
  • Percentage multipliers
01 / LEARN

Understand the idea.

Different mechanisms

For equal input steps, a linear model has constant differences; a positive exponential model has constant ratios. Calculate both when identifying a pattern. A short curve can look almost straight, so appearance alone is weak evidence.

Adding twenty units and adding twenty percent are different instructions. The first adds a fixed amount; the second multiplies the current amount by 1.2, so its added amount changes as the base changes.

Compare fairly

Compare models at the same input values with the same units and allowed domains. A table can reveal when their order changes. For continuous models, opposite order at two inputs establishes a crossing between them because their difference is continuous.

Choose a model using its mechanism and agreement with measurements. A larger long-term forecast does not make a model more realistic. Both linear and exponential rules can cease to apply when conditions change.

02 / WORKED EXAMPLES

See the method in action.

EXAMPLE 01

Same start, different change

Compare L=100+20⁢n and E=100⁢(1.2)n at years 0 to 4.

Predictions at integer years zero through four are joined as in the original. The sage linear values are 100,120,140,160,180; the gold exponential values are 100,120,144,172.8,207.36. The original x window zero to five and amount scale zero to 250 remain.
n01234
L100120140160180
E100120144172.8207.36

Worked solution

  1. 1

    Calculate the linear values.

    L⁢(0),L⁢(1),L⁢(2)=100,120,140L⁢(3),L⁢(4)=160,180

    The linear model adds twenty at each yearly step.

  2. 2

    Calculate the exponential values.

    E⁢(0),E⁢(1),E⁢(2)=100,120,144E⁢(3),E⁢(4)=172.8,207.36

    The exponential model multiplies by one point two each year.

  3. 3

    Compare at matching years.

    E⁢(0)=L⁢(0),E⁢(1)=L⁢(1)E⁢(2)>L⁢(2),E⁢(3)>L⁢(3)E⁢(4)=207.36>180=L⁢(4)

    Agreement at the first two inputs does not continue at the remaining listed years.

Answer

At year 4: L = 180 and E = 207.36.

EXAMPLE 02

A later change of order

Compare L=200+30⁢t and E=200⁢(1.1)t at times 8 and 9.

Worked solution

  1. 1

    Evaluate both models at eight.

    L⁢(8)=200+30⁢(8)=440E⁢(8)=200⁢(1.1)8≈428.72

    The linear prediction is larger at this common input.

  2. 2

    Evaluate both models at nine.

    L⁢(9)=200+30⁢(9)=470E⁢(9)=200⁢(1.1)9≈471.59

    The exponential prediction is larger at the next whole reporting time.

  3. 3

    Interpret the reversal.

    E⁢(8)<L⁢(8),E⁢(9)>L⁢(9)

    If both rules apply continuously, a crossing occurs between eight and nine; the listed whole-time order has reversed by nine.

Answer

L is larger at 8; E is larger at 9.

03 / YOUR TURN

Try it yourself.

Check your understanding

At consecutive inputs, outputs are 10, 15, 20, 25. Which simple model fits exactly?

Show answer & reasoning

A linear model.

The consecutive differences are 15−10=5, 20−15=5 and 25−20=5. The fixed increase identifies a linear model; the ratios are unequal.

Keep practising

6 worksheet questions · 13 marks

Read the questions online
  1. Classify 40, 50, 60, 70 and give a rule starting at n=0.
    2 marks
  2. Classify 40, 60, 90, 135 and give a rule.
    2 marks
  3. Compare A=300+30⁢t and B=300⁢(1.08)t at t=2.
    2 marks
  4. Find the differences for 100, 110, 121, 133.1 and identify its change.
    2 marks
  5. One tank loses 4 L/min; another loses 4% of its current volume per minute. Identify the model types.
    2 marks
  6. Why might neither an unrestricted linear nor an exponential model describe a population indefinitely?
    3 marks
Read the worked solutions

Equivalent correct methods earn the corresponding marks. Include units where asked.

  1. Classify 40, 50, 60, 70 and give a rule starting at n=0.
    2 marks

    Constant difference is 10.

    Linear; L=40+10⁢n.
  2. Classify 40, 60, 90, 135 and give a rule.
    2 marks

    Each ratio is 1.5.

    Exponential; E=40⁢(1.5)n.
  3. Compare A=300+30⁢t and B=300⁢(1.08)t at t=2.
    2 marks

    Substitute the same time in both models.

    A=360;B=349.92;A is larger.
  4. Find the differences for 100, 110, 121, 133.1 and identify its change.
    2 marks

    Differences vary but consecutive ratios are all 1.1.

    10, 11, 12.1; exponential factor 1.1.
  5. One tank loses 4 L/min; another loses 4% of its current volume per minute. Identify the model types.
    2 marks

    One removes a fixed amount; the other applies factor 0.96.

    The first is linear; the second is exponential.
  6. Why might neither an unrestricted linear nor an exponential model describe a population indefinitely?
    3 marks

    A simple rule may ignore crowding, migration or limited food.

    State a useful domain and check new observations.

    Resources, capacity and conditions may change.
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Curriculum reference & lesson scope

SACE Board of South Australia

Stage 1 General Mathematics: algebraic and graphical modelling of linear/exponential change, with interpretation and evaluation.

Official curriculum source ↗

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